Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, El Llano del Beal
The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela?
Deportiva Minera starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportiva Minera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Orihuela have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Deportiva Minera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Orihuela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Deportiva Minera 0-0 Orihuela | Copa Federacion |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Orihuela 0-1 Deportiva Minera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Deportiva Minera 1-0 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela on Oct 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Deportiva Minera score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva Minera | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela?
- The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela played?
- Deportiva Minera vs Orihuela is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.