Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: result 3-1 and analysis
La LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2011 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
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What was the result of Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Atletico Madrid won 3-1 on December 4, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 25′Gabriel Fernández ArenasAtletico Madrid
- 75′R. FalcaoAtletico Madrid
- 90′E. SalvioAtletico Madrid
- 90′Gabriel Fernández ArenasRayo Vallecano (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 4, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Levante(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Getafe(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Zaragoza(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 27, 2011 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2011 | Barcelona(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Valencia(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Osasuna(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Real Sociedad(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Villarreal(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 3rd in La Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy