Rayo Vallecano vs Levante: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Levante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Vallecano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
On Elo ratings, Rayo Vallecano has 2,037 points and Levante 1,990.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 25E. Audero
Levante
4-4-2- 9Iván Romero
- 11Yanis Musuayi
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti
- 7Brugui
- 20Oriol Rey
- 17Víctor García
- 4Dela
- 23Manu Sánchez
- 22J. Toljan
- 2A. Mandi
- 13M. Ryan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Levante have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano wins, 2 draws, 2 Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Levante 0-3 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| May 20, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Levante 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| May 4, 2019 | Levante 4-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Dec 23, 2018 | Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Levante | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano vs Levante on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Levante score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Vallecano sit 13th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Levante sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Levante.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano vs Levante played?
- Rayo Vallecano vs Levante is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Vallecas, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.