Atletico-MG vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 19, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG and Bahia drew 1-1 on July 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 25′TitiBahia
- 66′LuanAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2014 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Criciuma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 23, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Santos(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2014 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2014 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2014 | Santos(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 24, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2013 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Bahia 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahia | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 9th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy