Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense-sc: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 19, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Chapecoense-sc won 0-1 on July 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 57′Ricardo Renato de ConceiçãoChapecoense-sc
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chapecoense-sc have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2014 | Bahia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2014 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 2-5 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2014 | Bahia(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2014 | Internacional(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chapecoense-sc score 0.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Chapecoense-sc | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 23 matches) and Chapecoense-sc sit 20th (14 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 46 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy