Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2024 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on October 9, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′HulkAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 24′A. AravenaGremio
- 39′DeyversonAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
3-4-3- 10Paulinho
- 9Deyverson
- 7Hulk
- 44Rubens
- 5Otávio
- 18F. Vera
- 6Gustavo Scarpa
- 2Lyanco
- 21R. Battaglia
- 26R. Saravia
- 31Matheus Mendes
Gremio
4-3-3- 16A. Aravena
- 22M. Braithwaite
- 10F. Cristaldo
- 17Dodi
- 23Pepê
- 15Edenílson
- 6Reinaldo
- 28Jemerson
- 5Rodrigo Ely
- 34Igor
- 1A. Marchesín
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Fluminense(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 22, 2024 | RB Bragantino(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Criciuma(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Flamengo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG wins, 1 draw, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy