Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 17, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-3 on August 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′Gustavo ScarpaAtletico-MG
- 45′EdenílsonGremio
- 58′F. BalbuenaGremio
- 90′A. AravenaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2025 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 3, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sport Recife(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico-MG on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 8th in Serie A (32 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy