Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio won 2-1 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′M. ArezoGremio
- 45′EdenílsonGremio
- 75′RonyAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Gremio vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 19M. Arezo
- 9F. Amuzu
- 8Edenílson
- 99C. Olivera
- 20M. Villasanti
- 15Camilo
- 25Lucas Esteves
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 21Jemerson
- 34Igor Serrote
- 1Tiago Volpi
Atletico-MG
4-4-2- 7Hulk
- 33Rony
- 28T. Cuello
- 25Gabriel Menino
- 21A. Franco
- 10Gustavo Scarpa
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 6J. Alonso
- 4Lyanco
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico-MG have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Athletic Club(away) | 3-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Juventude(away) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 2-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | America Mineiro(home) | 4-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Manaus FC(home) | 4-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Tombense(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Tocantinópolis(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 4 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Gremio 4-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 30 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy