Atletico-MG vs Nautico Recife: result 5-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on June 24, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Nautico Recife?
Atletico-MG won 5-1 on June 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 3′BernardAtletico-MG
- 13′Clemerson de Araújo SantosNautico Recife
- 35′Ronaldinho GaúchoAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 37′Danilo Veron BairrosAtletico-MG
- 62′Danilo Veron BairrosAtletico-MG
- 90′D. EscuderoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Nautico Recife have 2, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2012 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy