Atlético Mineros vs Bezana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bezana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Mineros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mineros vs Bezana?
Bezana starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mineros have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bezana have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Monte(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cayón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bezana(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Revilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Colindres(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Colindres(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Mineros win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bezana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bezana 2-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 2-0 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 1-4 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Bezana 3-2 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bezana vs Atlético Mineros on Apr 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bezana score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bezana | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mineros vs Bezana?
- The Footlab model makes Bezana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Mineros.
- Where and when is Atlético Mineros vs Bezana played?
- Atlético Mineros vs Bezana is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.