Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Atletico Paranaense won 2-1 on September 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 25′T. CuelloAtletico Paranaense
- 33′B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense
- 45′P. VegettiVasco DA Gama
Official lineup for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico Paranaense
3-2-4-1- 9G. Mastriani
- 14A. Canobbio
- 10B. Zapelli
- 88Christian
- 28T. Cuello
- 3Gabriel
- 26Erick
- 37L. Esquivel
- 44Thiago Heleno
- 4Kaique Rocha
- 41Mycael
Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1- 99P. Vegetti
- 7David
- 10D. Payet
- 77Rayan
- 20J. Sforza
- 25Hugo Moura
- 6Lucas Piton
- 3Léo
- 4Maicon
- 96Paulo Henrique
- 1Léo Jardim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vasco DA Gama have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Juventude(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Criciuma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Fluminense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Paranaense wins, 1 draw, 2 Vasco DA Gama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| May 5, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama 0-2 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense on Aug 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vasco DA Gama score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy