Match

Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

FlamengoAtletico Paranaense

The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Atletico Paranaense. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Flamengo starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,882).

69%19%12%
Flamengo winDrawAtletico Paranaense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Pedro
  1. 15J. Carrascal
  2. 16Samuel Lino
  3. 5E. Pulgar
  4. 21Jorginho
  5. 11Lucas Paquetá
  1. 4Léo Pereira
  2. 3Léo Ortiz
  3. 2G. Varela
  4. 22Emerson Royal
  1. 1A. Rossi

Atletico Paranaense

3-4-2-1
  1. 9K. Viveros
  1. 14Luiz Gustavo
  2. 16Jádson
  3. 7S. Mendoza
  4. 12Gilberto
  5. 8João Cruz
  6. 21Leozinho
  1. 4Arthur Dias
  2. 33J. Aguirre
  3. 37L. Esquivel
  1. 1Mycael

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Atletico Paranaense have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flamengo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bahia(away)3-0Serie A
Oct 16, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)0-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
Oct 11, 2026Fluminense(home)1-0Serie A
Oct 8, 2026Santos(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026RB Bragantino(home)2-1Serie A
Atletico Paranaense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Palmeiras(home)0-2Serie A
Oct 12, 2026Chapecoense-sc(away)4-1Serie A
Oct 8, 2026Atletico-MG(home)2-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Bahia(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Coritiba(away)3-3Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flamengo wins, 2 draws, 1 Atletico Paranaense win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Atletico Paranaense 1-1 FlamengoSerie A
Sep 29, 2024Flamengo 1-0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
Jun 16, 2024Atletico Paranaense 1-1 FlamengoSerie A
Sep 14, 2023Flamengo 0-3 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
Jul 13, 2023Atletico Paranaense 0-2 FlamengoCopa Do Brasil
Jul 6, 2023Flamengo 2-1 Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil

Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flamengo score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flamengo1.90.778/158/15
Atletico Paranaense1.81.549/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flamengo sit 1st in Serie A (67 points from 31 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (53 points from 31 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Flamengo312074612567
3Atletico Paranaense311588493753

A question about Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
The Footlab AI model makes Flamengo the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Atletico Paranaense.
Where and when is Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense played?
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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