Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional: prediction and stats
Copa UruguaySemi-finalsKick-off on November 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Club Nacional the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Atletico Torque. The most likely score is 1-1. If Club Nacional wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Atletico Torque (1,952) and Club Nacional (1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Torque
4-3-3- 9S. Rodríguez
- 7Luka Andrade
- 30J. Quintana
- 8P. Siles
- 10E. Obregón
- 19D. Guzmán
- 17E. Agüero
- 24G. Kagelmacher
- 3K. Silva
- 26F. Silvera
- 1F. Torgnascioli
Club Nacional
3-4-1-2- 29T. Correa
- 9M. Gómez
- 23L. Rodríguez
- 6L. Boggio
- 39L. Gonzalez
- 20R. Botta
- 8S. Silva
- 15G. Martirena
- 21C. Cándido
- 4S. Coates
- 22A. Martín Arias
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Torque have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Club Nacional have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Libertad San Carlos(away) | 6-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Ferro Carril(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Torque win, 0 draws, 5 Club Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Club Nacional 2-0 Atletico Torque | Primera División |
| May 15, 2026 | Atletico Torque 1-2 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Atletico Torque 2-3 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Club Nacional 5-2 Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Atletico Torque 1-2 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Atletico Torque 1-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Atletico Torque on Oct 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Torque score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional?
- The Footlab AI model makes Club Nacional the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Atletico Torque.
- Where and when is Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional played?
- Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional is played on November 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the Copa Uruguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.