Match

Danubio vs Juventud: prediction and stats

Copa UruguaySemi-finalsKick-off on November 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo

DanubioJuventud

The Footlab AI model makes Juventud the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Danubio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventud wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Danubio vs Juventud?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Danubio (1,784) and Juventud (1,836).

31%27%42%
Danubio winDrawJuventud win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Danubio vs Juventud

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Danubio

4-3-1-2
  1. 77B. Tomatis
  2. 14Bautista Pereira
  1. 10M. Peralta
  2. 7E. Cabrera
  3. 16I. Rossi
  4. 5J. Millán
  1. 6L. Sosa
  2. 4M. Rinaldi
  3. 19M. Brasil
  4. 3G. Rodriguez
  1. 1M. Goicoechea

Juventud

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Alaniz
  2. 80F. Mimbacas
  3. 20B. Arady
  1. 37R. Peralta
  2. 10B. Larregui
  3. 26G. Pereiro
  1. 24F. Barrandeguy
  2. 14L. Roldán
  3. 8K. Rolón
  4. 2P. Pernicone
  1. 1S. Sosa

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Juventud have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Danubio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Lito(away)1-1Copa Uruguay
Nov 1, 2026Club Nacional(home)1-2Primera División
Oct 29, 2026Wanderers Durazno(away)3-0Copa Uruguay
Oct 24, 2026Deportivo Maldonado(away)1-2Primera División
Oct 18, 2026Central Espanol(home)1-0Primera División
Juventud
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Liverpool Montevideo(away)1-1Copa Uruguay
Nov 1, 2026Liverpool Montevideo(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 23, 2026Penarol(home)0-0Primera División
Oct 17, 2026Progreso(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 11, 2026Racing Montevideo(home)2-0Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Danubio wins, 2 draws, 2 Juventud wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Juventud 1-1 DanubioPrimera División
Mar 16, 2026Danubio 4-1 JuventudPrimera División
Aug 10, 2025Danubio 2-1 JuventudPrimera División - Clausura
Jun 21, 2025Juventud 3-1 DanubioPrimera División
Feb 9, 2025Juventud 2-2 DanubioPrimera División
Oct 13, 2021Danubio 0-1 JuventudSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Juventud vs Danubio on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Danubio score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Danubio1.21.237/156/15
Juventud1.10.884/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Danubio vs Juventud?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Danubio vs Juventud?
The Footlab AI model makes Juventud the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Danubio.
Where and when is Danubio vs Juventud played?
Danubio vs Juventud is played on November 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, in the Copa Uruguay.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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