Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristeriou, Athens
The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Atromitos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Atromitos (1,866) and Aris Thessalonikis (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atromitos have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Anagennisi Karditsas(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atromitos win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Aris Thessalonikis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Atromitos 1-2 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atromitos 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis 1-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Atromitos 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atromitos sit 10th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Atromitos.
- Where and when is Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristeriou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.