Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristeriou, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Atromitos the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aris Thessalonikis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atromitos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,249 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Atromitos (1,950) and Aris Thessalonikis (2,034).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atromitos
4-2-3-1- 9J. Perea
- 8S. Moutoussamy
- 7S. Zuber
- 70Serginho
- 6T. Karamanis
- 97K. Ofori
- 4D. Stavrópoulos
- 16G. Papadopoulos
- 44D. Tsakmakis
- 12M. Mountes
- 1L. Choutesiotis
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2-3-1- 9T. Kadewere
- 18M. Hongla
- 7B. Garré
- 8C. Kouamé
- 10U. Račić
- 70G. Gianniotas
- 4Fabiano
- 2J. Pétris
- 3O. Richards
- 97F. Jensen
- 33Ricardo Velho
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atromitos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atromitos wins, 2 draws, 4 Aris Thessalonikis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 3-1 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Atromitos 1-2 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atromitos 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis 1-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atromitos sit 12th in Super League 1 (6 points from 9 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atromitos the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Aris Thessalonikis.
- Where and when is Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- Atromitos vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristeriou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.