Aubstadt vs Buchbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Buchbach?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,849) and Buchbach (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Buchbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach 1-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Aubstadt 4-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Buchbach 2-4 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 10, 2025 | Aubstadt 1-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Buchbach 3-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 18, 2024 | Buchbach 5-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Buchbach?
- The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs Buchbach played?
- Aubstadt vs Buchbach is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027TSV 1860 MünchenvsMemmingen
- Feb 20, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsIllertissen
- Feb 20, 2027BayreuthvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Feb 20, 2027Nürnberg IIvsEltersdorf
- Feb 20, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsWacker Burghausen
- Feb 20, 2027VilzingvsAugsburg II
- Feb 20, 2027AnsbachvsEichstätt
- Feb 20, 2027LandsbergvsGreuther Fürth II