Match

Aubstadt vs Buchbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt

AubstadtBuchbach

The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aubstadt vs Buchbach?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,849) and Buchbach (1,870).

Aubstadt win48 %
Draw24 %
Buchbach win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Buchbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ansbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Aubstadt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eichstätt(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Buchbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach 1-1 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 11, 2026Aubstadt 4-1 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 26, 2025Buchbach 2-4 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
May 10, 2025Aubstadt 1-1 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Oct 22, 2024Buchbach 3-2 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
May 18, 2024Buchbach 5-2 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Aubstadt on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15
Buchbach1.92.139/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Buchbach532012411
12Aubstadt41211075

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Buchbach?
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach.
Where and when is Aubstadt vs Buchbach played?
Aubstadt vs Buchbach is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aubstadt and Buchbach

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