SpVgg Unterhaching vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Illertissen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate SpVgg Unterhaching (1,920) and Illertissen (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen 3-0 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching 2-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Illertissen 1-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Illertissen 3-4 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 4-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Illertissen 0-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs SpVgg Unterhaching on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Illertissen.
- Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Illertissen played?
- SpVgg Unterhaching vs Illertissen is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.