Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,846) and Eltersdorf (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Eltersdorf have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eltersdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf 1-3 Aubstadt | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Aubstadt 0-0 Eltersdorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Eltersdorf 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Aubstadt 2-1 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Eltersdorf sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf played?
- Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Nov 14, 2026EichstättvsAugsburg II
- Nov 14, 2026BayreuthvsVilzing
- Nov 14, 2026BuchbachvsGreuther Fürth II
- Nov 14, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsIllertissen
- Nov 14, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Nov 14, 2026AnsbachvsBayern München II
- Nov 14, 2026LandsbergvsNürnberg II