Match

Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt

AubstadtEltersdorf

The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,846) and Eltersdorf (1,915).

Aubstadt win36 %
Draw26 %
Eltersdorf win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Eltersdorf have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Eltersdorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)3-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Nürnberg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(away)0-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Vilzing(home)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Bayern München II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eltersdorf win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Eltersdorf 1-3 AubstadtFriendlies Clubs
Jul 6, 2024Aubstadt 0-0 EltersdorfFriendlies Clubs
Apr 13, 2022Eltersdorf 1-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 18, 2021Aubstadt 2-1 EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Eltersdorf vs Aubstadt on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15
Eltersdorf1.40.976/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Eltersdorf sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Eltersdorf5221548
12Aubstadt41211075

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf?
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Aubstadt.
Where and when is Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf played?
Aubstadt vs Eltersdorf is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aubstadt and Eltersdorf

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