Match

Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach

BuchbachGreuther Fürth II

The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,870) and Greuther Fürth II (1,821).

Buchbach win45 %
Draw23 %
Greuther Fürth II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Greuther Fürth II have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buchbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ansbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Aubstadt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eichstätt(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Greuther Fürth II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eltersdorf(away)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Landsberg(home)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026Vilzing(away)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026Bayreuth(home)0-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 25, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(away)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Greuther Fürth II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Buchbach 0-0 Greuther Fürth IIRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 16, 2025Greuther Fürth II 1-2 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Nov 24, 2024Greuther Fürth II 1-3 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 9, 2024Buchbach 1-4 Greuther Fürth IIRegionalliga - Bayern
Nov 18, 2023Greuther Fürth II 4-0 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 11, 2023Buchbach 0-1 Greuther Fürth IIRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Buchbach1.92.139/1511/15
Greuther Fürth II1.71.929/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Greuther Fürth II sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Buchbach532012411
16Greuther Fürth II5104473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II?
The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Greuther Fürth II.
Where and when is Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II played?
Buchbach vs Greuther Fürth II is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Buchbach and Greuther Fürth II

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