Aucas vs Cumbayá: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 7Kick-off on April 25, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Cumbayá?
Aucas won 2-1 on April 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. RezabalaAucas
- 55′M. CarcelénAucas
- 90′H. BatallaCumbayá (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cumbayá have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | Racing Club(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Emelec(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Libertad(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-4 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2023 | El Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aucas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cumbayá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Cumbayá 0-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| May 7, 2022 | Aucas 1-0 Cumbayá | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cumbayá score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cumbayá | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy