El Nacional vs Libertad: result 4-2 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 7Kick-off on April 23, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Libertad?
El Nacional won 4-2 on April 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 8′R. GarcésLibertad
- 30′P. LarreaLibertad
- 35′R. CarrilloEl Nacional
- 43′R. CarrilloEl Nacional
- 73′B. PalaciosEl Nacional
- 89′R. CarrilloEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Libertad have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2023 | Emelec(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Cumbayá(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 19, 2023 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Aucas(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 El Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | El Nacional 4-2 Libertad | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Libertad 1-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Libertad 1-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 29, 2022 | El Nacional 3-0 Libertad | Liga Pro Serie B |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Libertad on Oct 21, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Libertad | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy