Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 7Kick-off on March 15, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 0-1 on March 15, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 86′P. CaballeroIndependiente del Valle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | El Nacional(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 22, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2015 | El Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2015 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 2.0 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 2nd in Liga Pro (44 points from 26 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (67 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy