El Nacional vs Emelec: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 7Kick-off on March 15, 2015 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of El Nacional vs Emelec?
El Nacional and Emelec drew 1-1 on March 15, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. BolañosEmelec
- 46′81365El Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Emelec have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | Aucas(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2015 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2015 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2015 | LDU Loja(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 5-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | Emelec 5-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2014 | El Nacional 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 25, 2013 | El Nacional 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Emelec 2-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Apr 25, 2012 | Emelec 5-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Apr 22, 2012 | El Nacional 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Emelec | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy