Auchinleck Talbot vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Beechwood Park, Auchinleck
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Troon FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auchinleck Talbot vs Troon FC?
Auchinleck Talbot starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auchinleck Talbot have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st in Football League - Lowland League (15 points from 6 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auchinleck Talbot vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Troon FC.
- Where and when is Auchinleck Talbot vs Troon FC played?
- Auchinleck Talbot vs Troon FC is played on November 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Beechwood Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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