Audace Cerignola vs Potenza: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 35Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Potenza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Potenza?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Audace Cerignola (1,845) and Potenza (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Potenza have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia |
| May 20, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Audace Cerignola win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Potenza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Audace Cerignola 4-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Potenza 4-2 Audace Cerignola | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Potenza 0-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Potenza 1-2 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Audace Cerignola 0-1 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Potenza 1-0 Audace Cerignola | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Audace Cerignola vs Potenza on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Potenza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Audace Cerignola sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Potenza?
- The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Potenza.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Potenza played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Potenza is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.