Match

Potenza vs Casertana: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza

PotenzaCasertana

The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Casertana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Potenza vs Casertana?

On Elo ratings, Potenza has 1,931 points and Casertana 1,868.

53%24%23%
Potenza winDrawCasertana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Potenza vs Casertana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Casertana

3-5-2
  1. 10J. Manconi
  2. 9D. Castelli
  1. 18S. Oukhadda
  2. 21F. Vezzoni
  3. 16S. Pezzella
  4. 8S. Girelli
  5. 32F. Di Tacchio
  1. 23P. Martino
  2. 4I. Kontek
  3. 11G. Favale
  1. 1V. De Lucia

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Casertana have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Team Altamura(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 17, 2026Catania(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Foggia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026AZ Picerno(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Barletta(away)4-1Serie C - Girone C
Casertana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Bari(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Sorrento(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 10, 2026SS Monopoli(home)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Cavese(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Catania(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Potenza wins, 3 draws, 1 Casertana win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Potenza 2-0 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 6, 2025Casertana 3-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Apr 13, 2025Potenza 2-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 1, 2024Casertana 0-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 3, 2024Casertana 0-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 24, 2023Potenza 1-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Potenza vs Casertana on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Potenza score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Potenza2.01.3311/1510/15
Casertana1.41.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (25 points from 10 matches) and Casertana sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza10811261325
6Casertana10442151316

A question about Potenza vs Casertana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Casertana?
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Casertana.
Where and when is Potenza vs Casertana played?
Potenza vs Casertana is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Potenza and Casertana

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