Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Sport: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 27Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vegesack, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 48%, against 19% for a draw and 33% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Sport?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Aumund-Vegesack (1,694) and Vatan Sport (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aumund-Vegesack have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Vatan Sport have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aumund-Vegesack win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vatan Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport 2-4 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-1 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Vatan Sport 5-3 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Aumund-Vegesack 4-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Vatan Sport 1-3 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Aumund-Vegesack on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Vatan Sport sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 48%, against 19% for a draw and 33% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Sport played?
- Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Sport is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vegesack, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.