Hemelingen vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 27Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BSA Hemelingen - Platz 1, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 81%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemelingen vs Geestemünde?
Hemelingen is a heavy favourite: 1,998 Elo points against 1,692 — a 305-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemelingen have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 1-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Hemelingen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geestemünde 2-6 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hemelingen 4-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Geestemünde 0-3 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Hemelingen 4-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Hemelingen 5-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Geestemünde 1-8 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Hemelingen on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemelingen score 3.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemelingen | 3.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemelingen sit 5th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 2 matches) and Geestemünde sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hemelingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemelingen vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 81%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Hemelingen vs Geestemünde played?
- Hemelingen vs Geestemünde is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Hemelingen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.