Aurora vs Carchá: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on September 16, 2017 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Carchá?
Aurora won 2-1 on September 16, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Carchá have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2017 | Mictlán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Quirigua(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Comunicaciones II(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Universidad San Carlos(away) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2017 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Mictlán(home) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Sansare(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Quirigua(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Mixco(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aurora win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carchá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2016 | Carchá 1-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
| May 4, 2016 | Aurora 2-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Mar 9, 2016 | Aurora 1-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Carchá 3-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Aurora 2-0 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Carchá 2-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carchá score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Carchá | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy