Carchá vs Aurora: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausura - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 8, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Ramón Ponce Way, San Pedro Carchá
Full time
What was the result of Carchá vs Aurora?
Carchá won 1-0 on May 8, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carchá have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Aurora have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2016 | Aurora(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| May 1, 2016 | Iztapa(home) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Iztapa(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2016 | Carchá(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| May 1, 2016 | Huehueteco(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Huehueteco(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Deportivo Sanarate(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Quirigua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Carchá win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aurora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2016 | Aurora 2-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Mar 9, 2016 | Aurora 1-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Carchá 3-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Aurora 2-0 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Carchá 2-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Carchá score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carchá | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aurora | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy