Aurora vs Carchá: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausura - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 4, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
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What was the result of Aurora vs Carchá?
Aurora won 2-1 on May 4, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Carchá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Huehueteco(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Huehueteco(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Deportivo Sanarate(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Quirigua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Iztapa(home) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Iztapa(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Comunicaciones II(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aurora win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carchá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | Aurora 1-1 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Carchá 3-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Aurora 2-0 Carchá | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Carchá 2-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carchá score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Carchá | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy