Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on October 14, 2017 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
Full time
What was the result of Aurora vs Universidad San Carlos?
Universidad San Carlos won 1-2 on October 14, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Universidad San Carlos have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2017 | Sansare(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Mixco(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Carchá(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Mictlán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | Mictlán(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Quirigua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Deportivo Jocotán(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Carchá(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Aurora win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Universidad San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2017 | Universidad San Carlos 2-4 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Universidad San Carlos 0-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Aurora 0-0 Universidad San Carlos | Primera Division |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Universidad San Carlos 1-3 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Aurora 2-2 Universidad San Carlos | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Universidad San Carlos vs Aurora on Aug 20, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad San Carlos score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
| Universidad San Carlos | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy