Aurskog Finstadbru vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
NM CupenRound 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Aurskog Finstadbru. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurskog Finstadbru vs Lillestrom?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Aurskog Finstadbru have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Lillestrom have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurskog Finstadbru vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Aurskog Finstadbru.
- Where and when is Aurskog Finstadbru vs Lillestrom played?
- Aurskog Finstadbru vs Lillestrom is played on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the NM Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.