Austria Klagenfurt vs Bleiburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC)Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt am Wörthersee
The Footlab model makes Austria Klagenfurt the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bleiburg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Klagenfurt vs Bleiburg?
Austria Klagenfurt starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Klagenfurt have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bleiburg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bleiburg(away) | 4-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC II(home) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Treibach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Donau Klagenfurt(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Velden(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Donau Klagenfurt(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wolfsberg(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Velden(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Austria Klagenfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bleiburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bleiburg 3-4 Austria Klagenfurt | Regionalliga - South |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Bleiburg 2-4 Austria Klagenfurt | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Jul 31, 2020 | Austria Klagenfurt 4-2 Bleiburg | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Bleiburg 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Austria Klagenfurt 3-0 Bleiburg | Landesliga - Karnten |
Last archived meeting: Bleiburg vs Austria Klagenfurt on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Klagenfurt score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bleiburg score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Klagenfurt | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bleiburg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Klagenfurt sit 2nd in Regionalliga - South (9 points from 4 matches) and Bleiburg sit 12th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austria Klagenfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Klagenfurt vs Bleiburg?
- The Footlab model makes Austria Klagenfurt the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bleiburg.
- Where and when is Austria Klagenfurt vs Bleiburg played?
- Austria Klagenfurt vs Bleiburg is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC) at Wörthersee Stadion, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.