Wolfsberg vs Velden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ATSV Arena, Wolfsberg
The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Wolfsberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolfsberg vs Velden?
Velden starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolfsberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Velden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Velden(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Völkermarkt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bleiburg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Lendorf(away) | 1-4 | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wolfsberg(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Völkermarkt(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bleiburg(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Wolfsberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Velden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Velden 4-0 Wolfsberg | Regionalliga - South |
| May 30, 2025 | Velden 4-1 Wolfsberg | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Wolfsberg 2-3 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Wolfsberg 3-2 Velden | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Velden 2-0 Wolfsberg | Landesliga - Karnten |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolfsberg score 2.0 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Velden score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsberg | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Velden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolfsberg sit 14th in Regionalliga - South (2 points from 4 matches) and Velden sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velden | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolfsberg vs Velden?
- The Footlab model makes Velden the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Wolfsberg.
- Where and when is Wolfsberg vs Velden played?
- Wolfsberg vs Velden is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ATSV Arena, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.