Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Austria-Akademie, Wien
The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna (Am) the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Austria Vienna (Am) (1,742) and Sturm Graz II (1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Vienna (Am) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Liefering(away) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(home) | 3-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ried II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Austria Vienna (Am) win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am) 0-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Austria Vienna (Am) 0-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Sturm Graz II 3-1 Austria Vienna (Am) | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Vienna (Am) score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna (Am) | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Vienna (Am) sit 9th in 2. Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna (Am) the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II played?
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Austria-Akademie, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.