Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Austria Salzburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Austria Salzburg (1,837) and FC BW Linz (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Salzburg have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; FC BW Linz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(home) | 3-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 4-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | WSPG Wels(away) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Austria Salzburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC BW Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2014 | Austria Salzburg 2-0 FC BW Linz | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz on Jul 16, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Salzburg score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Salzburg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Salzburg sit 2nd in 2. Liga (9 points from 4 matches) and FC BW Linz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Austria Salzburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Austria Salzburg.
- Where and when is Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz played?
- Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Aicher-Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.