Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Generali Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Austria Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Austria Vienna (2,010) and Red Bull Salzburg (2,092).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Vienna have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Austria Vienna win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Red Bull Salzburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 3-1 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Austria Vienna 1-3 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 0-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Austria Vienna 0-3 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| May 4, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Austria Vienna 1-3 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Vienna score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Vienna sit 9th in Bundesliga (3 points from 3 matches) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Austria Vienna.
- Where and when is Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- Austria Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Generali Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.