SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CASHPOINT Arena, Altach
The Footlab model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for SCR Altach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz?
Sturm Graz starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,084 vs 1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SCR Altach have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sturm Graz have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | WSG Wattens(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leobendorf(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SCR Altach win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sturm Graz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz 1-0 SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz 2-0 SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCR Altach 3-1 Sturm Graz | Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | SCR Altach 0-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SCR Altach 1-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Sturm Graz 2-1 SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SCR Altach score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SCR Altach sit 8th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz?
- The Footlab model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for SCR Altach.
- Where and when is SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz played?
- SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CASHPOINT Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.