Austria vs Croatia: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 6Kick-off on September 25, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Wien
Full time
What was the result of Austria vs Croatia?
Croatia won 1-3 on September 25, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 6′L. ModrićCroatia
- 9′C. BaumgartnerAustria
- 69′M. LivajaCroatia
- 72′D. LovrenCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Croatia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | France(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2022 | France(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Denmark(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2022 | Croatia(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | Denmark(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | France(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Denmark(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | France(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2022 | Austria(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Austria win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2022 | Croatia 0-3 Austria | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2008 | Austria 0-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Austria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Croatia | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy