Portugal vs Spain: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
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What was the result of Portugal vs Spain?
Spain won 0-1 on September 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 88′Álvaro MorataSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Spain have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Czechia(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Switzerland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Czechia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Switzerland(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Spain(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Switzerland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Czechia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Switzerland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Czechia(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Portugal(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Portugal win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2022 | Spain 1-1 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Spain 0-0 Portugal | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Portugal 0-0 Spain | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Portugal 3-3 Spain | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Portugal 0-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 29, 2010 | Spain 1-0 Portugal | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 2.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 1.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Spain | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy