Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Igueldea, Arre
The Footlab AI model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avance Ezcabarte wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Avance Ezcabarte (1,767) and Mutilvera (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avance Ezcabarte have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mutilvera have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cantolagua(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Avance Ezcabarte wins, 0 draws, 1 Mutilvera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mutilvera 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avance Ezcabarte sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (11 points from 6 matches) and Mutilvera sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Avance Ezcabarte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera played?
- Avance Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Igueldea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.