Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte: result 1-0 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
Full time
What was the result of Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Mutilvera won 1-0 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′647626Mutilvera
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mutilvera win at 58%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutilvera sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 6 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Avance Ezcabarte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy