Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Igueldea, Arre
The Footlab AI model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pamplona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avance Ezcabarte wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Avance Ezcabarte (1,716) and Pamplona (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avance Ezcabarte have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Pamplona have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Avance Ezcabarte win, 2 draws, 3 Pamplona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pamplona 4-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Avance Ezcabarte 2-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Pamplona 3-2 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 3-4 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Pamplona 0-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 10 matches) and Pamplona sit 16th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 16 | Pamplona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pamplona.
- Where and when is Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona played?
- Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Igueldea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.