Mutilvera vs Txantrea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 28Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Txantrea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Txantrea?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Mutilvera (1,746) and Txantrea (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Txantrea have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mutilvera win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Txantrea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mutilvera 6-0 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Txantrea 1-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Mutilvera 1-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Txantrea on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Txantrea score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Txantrea | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Txantrea | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 67 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Txantrea?
- The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Txantrea.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Txantrea played?
- Mutilvera vs Txantrea is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.