Aveley vs Cheshunt: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 8, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Cheshunt?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cheshunt have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cheshunt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aveley 3-0 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Cheshunt 2-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cheshunt 1-1 Aveley | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cheshunt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cheshunt sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Cheshunt?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Cheshunt.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Cheshunt played?
- Aveley vs Cheshunt is played on February 8, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027LeatherheadvsChatham Town
- Feb 9, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsCarshalton Athletic
- Feb 9, 2027WhitehawkvsWhyteleafe
- Feb 9, 2027Brentwood TownvsSt Albans City
- Feb 9, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Feb 9, 2027RamsgatevsDartford
- Feb 9, 2027Cray WanderersvsDulwich Hamlet
- Feb 9, 2027Enfield TownvsStanway Rovers