Match

Cheshunt vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Stadium Cheshunt, Cheshunt, Hertfordshire

CheshuntAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cheshunt vs Aveley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,728).

Cheshunt win21 %
Draw23 %
Aveley win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheshunt have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cheshunt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Burgess Hill Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cray Wanderers(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 21, 2026Leyton Orient(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cheshunt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Aveley 3-0 CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian
Feb 24, 2026Cheshunt 2-0 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 3, 2024Cheshunt 1-1 AveleyFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Cheshunt on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cheshunt1.11.337/157/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cheshunt sit 18th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (3 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aveley42111067
18Cheshunt4031133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cheshunt vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Cheshunt.
Where and when is Cheshunt vs Aveley played?
Cheshunt vs Aveley is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Stadium Cheshunt, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cheshunt and Aveley

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