Cheshunt vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Stadium Cheshunt, Cheshunt, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheshunt vs Aveley?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheshunt have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cheshunt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aveley 3-0 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Cheshunt 2-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cheshunt 1-1 Aveley | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshunt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheshunt sit 18th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (3 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheshunt vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Cheshunt.
- Where and when is Cheshunt vs Aveley played?
- Cheshunt vs Aveley is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Stadium Cheshunt, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEastbourne Borough
- Oct 6, 2026DartfordvsRamsgate
- Oct 6, 2026St Albans CityvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 6, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWelling United
- Oct 6, 2026Three BridgesvsLewes
- Oct 6, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsBurgess Hill Town
- Oct 6, 2026Dulwich HamletvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 6, 2026Chatham TownvsLeatherhead