Aveley vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Aveley (1,883) and Cray Wanderers (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aveley 2-3 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 0-3 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Aveley 0-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 2-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Aveley 1-1 Cray Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Cray Wanderers on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Aveley vs Cray Wanderers is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWingate & Finchley
- Dec 19, 2026St Albans CityvsDartford
- Dec 19, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsLewes
- Dec 19, 2026WhyteleafevsThree Bridges
- Dec 19, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsCheshunt
- Dec 19, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhitehawk
- Dec 19, 2026Enfield TownvsLeatherhead
- Dec 19, 2026Dulwich HamletvsRamsgate