Aveley vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Aveley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cray Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Aveley (1,846) and Cray Wanderers (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Cray Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Cray Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Cray Wanderers lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aveley win, 1 draw, 3 Cray Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aveley 2-3 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 0-3 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Aveley 0-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 2-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Aveley 1-1 Cray Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Cray Wanderers on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 17th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (11 points from 11 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| 17 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Aveley vs Cray Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Aveley.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Aveley vs Cray Wanderers is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWingate & Finchley
- Dec 19, 2026St Albans CityvsDartford
- Dec 19, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsLewes
- Dec 19, 2026WhyteleafevsThree Bridges
- Dec 19, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsCheshunt
- Dec 19, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhitehawk
- Dec 19, 2026Enfield TownvsLeatherhead
- Dec 19, 2026Dulwich HamletvsRamsgate