Brentwood Town vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Brentwood Centre Arena, Brentwood, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Brentwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentwood Town vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Brentwood Town (1,838) and Aveley (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentwood Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brentwood Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Aveley 1-4 Brentwood Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Brentwood Town 3-3 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Aveley 1-1 Brentwood Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Brentwood Town 0-3 Aveley | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Aveley 1-0 Brentwood Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Oct 5, 2021 | Brentwood Town 0-1 Aveley | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Brentwood Town on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentwood Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentwood Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentwood Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (3 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentwood Town vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Brentwood Town.
- Where and when is Brentwood Town vs Aveley played?
- Brentwood Town vs Aveley is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brentwood Centre Arena, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 28, 2026DartfordvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 28, 2026LeatherheadvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 28, 2026WhitehawkvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 28, 2026RamsgatevsChatham Town
- Dec 28, 2026Three BridgesvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 28, 2026CheshuntvsEnfield Town
- Dec 28, 2026Cray WanderersvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 28, 2026LewesvsWelling United