Avellino vs Cremonese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cremonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Cremonese?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Avellino (1,845) and Cremonese (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Cremonese have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monza(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Avellino win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cremonese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2018 | Avellino 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Cremonese 3-1 Avellino | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Avellino vs Cremonese on Jan 27, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cremonese score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cremonese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avellino sit 13th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Cremonese sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Cremonese?
- The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cremonese.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Cremonese played?
- Avellino vs Cremonese is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.